Snow storms, squalls continue Monday through parts of Ontario before temperatures rise mid-week

By Janis Ramsay

Snow storms, squalls continue Monday through parts of Ontario before temperatures rise mid-week

Some snowfall warnings are still in effect today (Nov. 17) for parts of Ontario, but Environment and Climate Change Canada expects the snow activity to calm as the week progresses.

Parts of London, Grand Bend, Goderich, Stratford, Woodstock and areas east of Lake Huron are still under a weather alert Monday.

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Initially, Environment Canada predicted as much as 20 to 40 centimetres of snow in the area, with lake-effect streams off Lake Huron.

On Monday, the prediction was lowered to 10 to 15 centimetres of additional local snowfall.

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"That activity will continue into the afternoon," warning preparedness meteorologist Geoff Coulson told Metroland Media. "But it will weaken a bit and shift to the northeast."

The snowfall expected to land southeast of Georgian Bay was also dropped, with alerts ending for the area Monday morning.

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"I can see a few echoes coming from the Collingwood area, down through Barrie and Richmond Hill, but it's not expected to accumulate throughout the day today," Coulson said.

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He said it is possible to see up to five centimetres today, but the storm has weakened from the initial alert on the weekend, which predicted much more.

As the snowstorm passes through the province today, the rest of the week's forecast doesn't look too tumultuous.

Tuesday brings rain and snow for some areas

Temperatures are expected to be a bit colder than seasonal Monday and Tuesday, with Windsor reaching highs between 5 to 9 C, and the GTA colder than the normal 6 C, with temperatures around 2 or 3 C.

"There doesn't look to be much in the way of major weather systems," Coulson said. "We're going to be tracking (a system) coming out of Colorado that's going to bring some precipitation to southwestern Ontario Tuesday."

It should be mostly showers for the Windsor and Sarnia area Tuesday, with possible flurries for the London area.

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"We're not expecting significant accumulations, but it is something people should be aware of."

Temperatures for the Windsor and Sarnia area Tuesday should be around 5 or 6 C, which is normal for this time of year.

"It will be colder than that for the London area, so there's a chance of mixed precipitation or just flurries."

The storm will exit eastwards early Wednesday morning, which is followed by a high-pressure system, Coulson added.

As the week wears on, that high-pressure system will build, weakening the windy conditions.

Dry Wednesday and Thursday

For the most part, Wednesday and Thursday should be dry across the province.

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"Wednesday and Thursday will be pretty quiet in terms of potential precipitation," Coulson said, adding most areas will also be back to seasonal norms for this time of year.

The only possibility of activity is in the Ottawa Valley area, which may be impacted by a storm moving through northern Ontario on Thursday.

Ottawa Valley is expected to see temperatures colder than normal through to Thursday, Coulson added.

"It could spread mixed precipitation, maybe even the risk of some freezing rain," Coulson said. "This could be late Thursday night into Friday morning."

Temperatures will warm up across the province on Friday, which will turn any flurries in Ottawa Valley into raindrops.

"That same system could kick off showers as far down as the Greater Toronto Area, but again, it doesn't look very organized or significant."

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As the end of the week approaches, the wind direction will shift, bringing some colder air from the west later in the day Friday, with gusts between 20 to 40 km/h in the GTA.

"Things can still change, and the timing of the cold front," Coulson said.

Areas in northern Ontario can expect a snowstorm Friday, but it's not expected to affect southern or eastern parts of the province, he added.

Long-range forecast

Looking forward to weather models for the end of November, Coulson said weather watchers believe a few mild days are ahead.

"People are asking me if there's going to be a cold snap, and I looked a little further into the future for next week," Coulson said. "I'm not really seeing much. It looks like seasonal temperatures, some milder than seasonal temperatures as we finish off the month of November."

Some models hint the cold snap may come in the last days of November, heading into December.

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"The bulk of the rest of November should be seasonal temperatures or a bit warmer," he added.

To stay up-to-date on the weather forecast, visit weather.gc.ca or download the WeatherCAN app to your smartphone.

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