Commentary: Federal spending, job cuts are already hurting Fairfax. Virginia is next


Commentary: Federal spending, job cuts are already hurting Fairfax. Virginia is next

BY JEFFREY MCKAY

Virginia's recent drop from CNBC's top business ranking isn't just symbolic. It's a warning. More than 21,700 Fairfax County residents are out of work, a 35% increase in just one year, driven almost entirely by cuts to the federal workforce. These aren't abstract numbers. They reflect the growing impact of the Trump administration's reckless dismantling of federal agencies and the ripple effect on the private sector. As the state with the second-highest number of federal workers, Virginia is especially vulnerable.

Instead of offering meaningful solutions -- or even basic empathy -- Gov. Glenn Youngkin's administration has deflected responsibility or has celebrated the cuts as "necessary." Despite the lack of a statewide plan or a governor who is fighting this statewide hit, our local economy continues to show strength.

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Here's the good news: Between fiscal years 2022 and 2024, the Fairfax County Economic Development Authority helped us create or retain 28,000 jobs -- 90% without state assistance. The Virginia Economic Development Partnership supported just 2,500 jobs here of 36,000 statewide during that same period.

Fairfax County contributes more than $167 billion annually to Virginia's economy, more than a quarter of the state's total GDP. Our economy is diverse, anchored by global companies like Amazon Web Services, Google, Northrop Grumman and Hilton. But Fortune 500 giants aren't our only growth drivers. The majority of county businesses are small, employing fewer than 50 people. That mix of global scale and local entrepreneurship is a key reason we've remained strong amid federal job losses.

Fairfax County is one of only 50 nationwide with a Triple-A bond rating -- a distinction we've held for more than 50 consecutive years. That record of financial strength, combined with our economic diversity, has resulted in national recognition as a leader in innovation, opportunity and quality of life.

Here's the bad news: More than 11,000 federal civilian jobs have already been eliminated in Virginia this year, according to the University of Virginia's Weldon Cooper Center, with another 10,500 at risk. These cuts are hitting critical agencies, including the Departments of Defense, Veterans Affairs, Treasury and Commerce, and have triggered layoffs at major private contractors like Booz Allen Hamilton, MITRE Corp. and Leidos.

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Meanwhile, the number of open jobs in Northern Virginia has dropped sharply -- from more than 90,000 in January to just over 48,000 today -- underscoring a deepening slowdown and rising uncertainty across the region. This steep decline speaks to the scale of disruption. Employers are pulling back, and the latest jobs report confirms those trends.

When someone loses a federal job, it's not only a personal crisis. It affects small businesses, schools and essential local programs. When a longtime Department of Veterans Affairs employee is laid off, it's not just her job that disappears -- it's a delay in care for veterans, a missed rent check, and one less customer at a neighborhood store.

I've called on the governor to use the close relationship with President Donald Trump that he proudly touts to stand up for Virginia's economy. Fairfax County has raised the alarm for months, and the governor's response has been to defend the Trump administration's actions.

In my nearly two decades as an elected official, governors of both parties have always put Virginians first -- not Washington politics. Instead, we're told that the private sector can somehow absorb these losses. That's not only unrealistic but dismissive of the many public servants with specialized skills and deep institutional knowledge whose lives have been upended. Brushing them aside insults not just their work, but the families and communities who depend on them.

Virginia needs solutions. That means a comprehensive economic plan: funding retraining programs, expanding unemployment insurance, providing direct assistance to workers, expanding into new technologies, creating even stronger partnerships with universities, and more.

But Virginia should also absolutely be playing defense. I urge the governor to work with the attorney general and join other states in legal action to stop politically motivated attacks on the federal workforce. Virginians deserve leaders who respond in a crisis, not retreat.

The prosperity of Fairfax County has been built over decades of bipartisan leadership, and the current federal actions threaten the economic stability of the entire commonwealth.

Fairfax County will continue to lead through these challenges. But we can't do it alone. Virginia needs leaders who put families first and take urgent action to protect our economic foundation. The Trump administration's reckless federal workforce cuts are devastating Virginia. Refusing to respond only deepens the crisis. The time to act is now.

Close

07-31-1953 (cutline): The Richmond, 128-foot barge, is launched into canal, first big vessel built here in half a century. Craft makes big splash, but beginning was marred when champagne bottle refused to crash properly.

Staff photo

02-07-1954 (cutline): Team of workers co-operates in riveting steel truss for hangar.

Staff photo

10-20-1965 (cutline): Finishing touches are put on a 272-ton, $100,000 barge at the Richmond Steel Co., Inc. yard at 18th and Byrd Streets.

Staff photo

01-17-1955 (cutline): Latest completed barge slides into canal.

Staff photo

09-30-1954: Factory

Times-Dispatch

03-06-1954 (cutline): A.M Robertson applied the torch to a piece of steel helping to hold the barge in place. Launched yesterday afternoon, the barge will be used to haul sand and gravel between Dutch Gap and Hampton Roads.

Staff photo

02-07-1954 (cutline): Electrically heated rivets are cleaned by Elbert Carter.

Staff photo

02-07-1954 (cutline): Overhead view of one section of plant shows hangar truss under fabrication.

Staff photo

02-07-1954 (cutline): Electrically welded, 165-ton steel barge nears completion at Richmond Steel Co.

Staff photo

02-07-1954 (cutline): Crew of workmen seal one air-tight compartment in barge's hull.

Staff photo

05-09-1955 (cutline): A big tug from New York City leaves Richmond's upper terminal with three steel barges in tow. The barges were made at the Richmond Steel Company Here for a New York Company. They were towed away Friday.

Staff photo From the Archives: Barges and Richmond Steel

07-31-1953 (cutline): The Richmond, 128-foot barge, is launched into canal, first big vessel built here in half a century. Craft makes big splash, but beginning was marred when champagne bottle refused to crash properly.

Staff photo

02-07-1954 (cutline): Team of workers co-operates in riveting steel truss for hangar.

Staff photo

10-20-1965 (cutline): Finishing touches are put on a 272-ton, $100,000 barge at the Richmond Steel Co., Inc. yard at 18th and Byrd Streets.

Staff photo

01-17-1955 (cutline): Latest completed barge slides into canal.

Staff photo

09-30-1954: Factory

Times-Dispatch

03-06-1954 (cutline): A.M Robertson applied the torch to a piece of steel helping to hold the barge in place. Launched yesterday afternoon, the barge will be used to haul sand and gravel between Dutch Gap and Hampton Roads.

Staff photo

02-07-1954 (cutline): Electrically heated rivets are cleaned by Elbert Carter.

Staff photo

02-07-1954 (cutline): Overhead view of one section of plant shows hangar truss under fabrication.

Staff photo

02-07-1954 (cutline): Electrically welded, 165-ton steel barge nears completion at Richmond Steel Co.

Staff photo

02-07-1954 (cutline): Crew of workmen seal one air-tight compartment in barge's hull.

Staff photo

05-09-1955 (cutline): A big tug from New York City leaves Richmond's upper terminal with three steel barges in tow. The barges were made at the Richmond Steel Company Here for a New York Company. They were towed away Friday.

Staff photo

Jeffrey McKay is chairman of the Fairfax County Board of Supervisors. Contact McKay at [email protected].

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